In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 505 draws, 5 from 1–49.
64times drawn · chance expected 52 +1.83σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 90% for any number
7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
37longest completed wait · 73% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 64 times in 505 draws against 51.5 expected, +1.83σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
30
Number 30, draw by draw
Drawn 64 times in 505 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 0.2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.