In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 504 draws, 5 from 1–49.
63times drawn · chance expected 51 +1.70σ
9draws waiting · a wait this long: 42% for any number
7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
44longest completed wait · 46% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 63 times in 504 draws against 51.4 expected, +1.70σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 63 times in 504 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 9 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 0.3 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.