Number 40

In Cowboy Draw under the 5/45 · since Mar 2015 rules — 1,206 draws, 5 from 1–45.

115times drawn · chance expected 134 −1.74σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

10.5average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

57longest completed wait · 14% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 115 times in 1,206 draws against 134.0 expected, −1.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 115 times in 1,206 draws · average wait 10.5 draws · longest completed wait 57 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.3
3rd smallest2 · chance 6.3
4th smallest35 · chance 38.7
5th smallest78 · chance 69.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

9 26 38 13 11 16

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-12	2	5th	3 26 30 38 40
2026-10-05	1	5th	1 15 23 26 40
2026-10-01	25	4th	13 14 38 40 42
2026-07-06	1	4th	2 8 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-05-20	2	5th	4 5 6 34 40
2024-05-13	5	5th	24 31 32 34 40
2024-04-25	1	4th	19 29 32 40 43
2024-04-22	16	5th	9 30 33 39 40
2024-02-26	5	4th	12 27 39 40 42
2024-02-08	6	5th	9 13 21 24 40
2024-01-18	24	5th	8 17 20 30 40
2023-10-26	8	4th	6 11 20 40 44
2023-09-28	23	5th	3 4 6 24 40
2023-07-10	3	5th	2 24 32 38 40
2023-06-29	5	4th	3 37 38 40 43
2023-06-12	42	5th	11 13 22 28 40
2023-01-16	1	5th	3 27 36 39 40
2023-01-12	18	5th	7 17 34 39 40
2022-11-10	4	5th	17 31 33 37 40
2022-10-27	13	4th	22 26 37 40 41
2022-09-12	3	5th	6 12 20 24 40
2022-09-01	17	5th	19 26 32 38 40
2022-07-04	18	4th	2 10 32 40 45
2022-05-02	18	5th	14 16 27 32 40
2022-02-28	4	5th	1 6 9 22 40
2022-02-14	5	5th	14 24 29 32 40
2022-01-27	4	5th	4 9 18 20 40
2022-01-13	15	5th	9 13 24 31 40
2021-11-22	41	5th	9 10 18 33 40
2021-07-01	16	5th	16 29 31 38 40
2021-05-06	13	5th	25 30 33 35 40
2021-03-22	2	5th	4 19 32 35 40
2021-03-15	16	3rd	6 34 40 41 43
2021-01-18	12	5th	12 18 25 28 40
2020-12-07	36	5th	9 16 23 24 40
2020-08-03	7	5th	1 7 28 39 40
2020-07-09	25	5th	8 10 11 13 40
2020-04-13	16	5th	5 21 23 27 40
2020-02-17	5	4th	4 34 37 40 42
2020-01-30	11	4th	11 22 31 40 41
2019-12-23	1	4th	3 4 35 40 42
2019-12-19	1	4th	6 7 24 40 45
2019-12-16	4	4th	14 20 27 40 44
2019-12-02	5	5th	12 29 31 32 40
2019-11-14	8	5th	2 4 8 30 40
2019-10-17	8	5th	8 17 19 24 40
2019-09-19	2	5th	12 20 28 38 40
2019-09-12	1	5th	3 15 19 22 40
2019-09-09	10	5th	16 17 21 22 40
2019-08-05	8	4th	4 9 18 40 44
2019-07-08	13	5th	11 12 26 28 40
2019-05-23	4	5th	1 11 27 35 40
2019-05-09	7	5th	12 19 26 34 40
2019-04-15	17	5th	4 9 16 18 40
2019-02-14	26	4th	10 13 38 40 41
2018-11-15	8	4th	1 9 26 40 45
2018-10-18	21	5th	10 26 30 38 40
2018-08-06	2	5th	7 14 20 38 40
2018-07-30	2	4th	23 25 31 40 43
2018-07-23	2	5th	13 16 20 27 40
2018-07-16	4	5th	2 12 27 29 40
2018-07-02	11	5th	3 6 8 25 40
2018-05-24	6	5th	4 7 14 27 40
2018-05-03	18	5th	10 20 35 37 40
2018-03-01	5	4th	1 29 33 40 43
2018-02-12	12	5th	13 15 17 27 40
2018-01-01	22	5th	5 29 36 39 40
2017-10-16	7	3rd	4 21 40 42 43
2017-09-21	8	4th	1 26 36 40 41
2017-08-24	2	5th	3 14 16 27 40
2017-08-17	5	4th	14 20 27 40 41
2017-07-31	22	5th	8 16 18 23 40
2017-05-15	13	5th	12 20 29 38 40
2017-03-30	11	5th	1 2 26 36 40
2017-02-20	1	4th	9 10 35 40 41
2017-02-16	1	5th	6 11 16 23 40
2017-02-13	7	5th	11 15 20 27 40
2017-01-19	15	4th	16 34 37 40 42
2016-11-28	12	5th	6 16 25 26 40
2016-10-17	16	5th	12 14 17 26 40
2016-08-22	12	4th	11 14 22 40 45
2016-07-11	1	5th	13 26 29 30 40
2016-07-07	10	5th	13 15 20 32 40
2016-06-02	2	5th	1 10 11 35 40
2016-05-26	8	4th	12 34 37 40 43
2016-04-28	40	4th	15 24 29 40 45
2015-12-10	3	4th	5 24 32 40 43
2015-11-30	4	5th	8 11 20 25 40
2015-11-16	14	5th	9 17 24 37 40
2015-09-28	11	4th	8 14 36 40 41
2015-08-20	8	4th	1 24 36 40 43
2015-07-23	14	4th	7 15 19 40 41
2015-06-01	4	4th	16 28 35 40 45
2015-05-18	13	5th	22 29 33 34 40
2015-04-02	—	5th	5 13 22 28 40