Number 10

In Cowboy Draw under the 5/45 · since Mar 2015 rules — 1,206 draws, 5 from 1–45.

145times drawn · chance expected 134 +1.01σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 44% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

32longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 145 times in 1,206 draws against 134.0 expected, +1.01σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 145 times in 1,206 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest54 · chance 55.9
2nd smallest66 · chance 62.9
3rd smallest24 · chance 22.9
4th smallest1 · chance 3.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25 9 42 13 20 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-14	22	2nd	7 10 14 25 38
2026-06-29	6	1st	10 16 28 34 40
2026-06-08	27	1st	10 14 15 27 36
2026-03-05	1	1st	10 13 18

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-11-14	7	2nd	9 10 22 38 44
2024-10-21	6	1st	10 20 28 34 37
2024-09-30	7	2nd	6 10 16 21 28
2024-09-05	3	2nd	7 10 18 19 44
2024-08-26	3	2nd	6 10 26 27 34
2024-08-15	20	2nd	9 10 20 28 42
2024-06-06	2	2nd	4 10 27 29 43
2024-05-30	9	2nd	6 10 20 29 44
2024-04-29	25	1st	10 12 27 30 38
2024-02-01	2	1st	10 11 13 15 23
2024-01-25	4	1st	10 18 20 23 25
2024-01-11	2	3rd	3 4 10 28 29
2024-01-04	15	2nd	5 10 13 23 28
2023-11-13	7	1st	10 29 32 41 42
2023-10-19	25	3rd	2 8 10 35 42
2023-07-24	3	1st	10 14 32 34 42
2023-07-13	11	1st	10 11 30 36 38
2023-06-05	5	1st	10 16 28 29 44
2023-05-18	9	2nd	9 10 15 34 41
2023-04-17	13	3rd	3 4 10 13 39
2023-03-02	7	1st	10 19 25 29 41
2023-02-06	20	2nd	6 10 12 19 42
2022-11-28	4	2nd	5 10 15 21 45
2022-11-14	10	2nd	2 10 17 20 30
2022-10-10	1	2nd	7 10 11 25 41
2022-10-06	9	2nd	4 10 25 31 38
2022-09-05	12	1st	10 16 21 32 45
2022-07-25	6	2nd	3 10 11 20 28
2022-07-04	9	2nd	2 10 32 40 45
2022-06-02	23	3rd	4 9 10 11 21
2022-03-14	16	1st	10 15 16 30 32
2022-01-17	10	1st	10 24 34 37 42
2021-12-13	6	2nd	9 10 12 20 37
2021-11-22	4	2nd	9 10 18 33 40
2021-11-08	4	1st	10 19 20 25 42
2021-10-25	15	1st	10 17 18 33 43
2021-09-02	20	2nd	7 10 16 19 44
2021-06-24	8	1st	10 16 25 29 43
2021-05-27	7	3rd	6 8 10 25 39
2021-05-03	2	2nd	1 10 12 19 45
2021-04-26	3	2nd	9 10 13 31 43
2021-04-15	10	1st	10 27 35 42 43
2021-03-11	3	3rd	4 5 10 26 45
2021-03-01	8	2nd	3 10 12 30 34
2021-02-01	18	2nd	5 10 19 21 43
2020-11-30	4	1st	10 15 28 36 44
2020-11-16	5	2nd	3 10 18 24 44
2020-10-29	9	1st	10 13 22 24 36
2020-09-28	2	2nd	2 10 17 24 34
2020-09-21	4	3rd	3 7 10 21 24
2020-09-07	3	3rd	1 5 10 17 42
2020-08-27	6	2nd	7 10 14 16 20
2020-08-06	8	2nd	9 10 15 38 41
2020-07-09	2	2nd	8 10 11 13 40
2020-07-02	5	2nd	5 10 24 31 45
2020-06-15	19	1st	10 11 14 22 42
2020-04-09	3	1st	10 12 24 27 43
2020-03-30	13	2nd	8 10 19 33 34
2020-02-13	19	2nd	9 10 13 21 41
2019-12-09	32	2nd	9 10 22 25 33
2019-08-19	3	3rd	6 9 10 11 21
2019-08-08	18	2nd	1 10 33 35 43
2019-06-06	6	1st	10 12 13 26 37
2019-05-16	12	3rd	2 7 10 12 20
2019-04-04	1	2nd	8 10 23 30 32
2019-04-01	8	1st	10 20 22 25 36
2019-03-04	4	1st	10 11 24 29 42
2019-02-18	1	1st	10 13 21 30 43
2019-02-14	32	1st	10 13 38 40 41
2018-10-25	2	1st	10 25 27 31 42
2018-10-18	16	1st	10 26 30 38 40
2018-08-23	10	1st	10 19 23 39 43
2018-07-19	13	1st	10 12 35 38 41
2018-06-04	1	2nd	9 10 32 38 45
2018-05-31	8	2nd	2 10 17 32 42
2018-05-03	1	1st	10 20 35 37 40
2018-04-30	9	1st	10 27 28 36 45
2018-03-29	4	1st	10 16 23 34 37
2018-03-15	1	2nd	3 10 13 15 41
2018-03-12	2	1st	10 27 30 33 45
2018-03-05	15	2nd	5 10 25 28 39
2018-01-11	10	2nd	7 10 21 33 43
2017-12-07	2	3rd	2 4 10 25 42
2017-11-30	1	1st	10 17 22 32 41
2017-11-27	9	2nd	4 10 20 31 45
2017-10-26	13	3rd	4 7 10 25 34
2017-09-11	1	2nd	7 10 26 28 36
2017-09-07	1	2nd	9 10 13 36 45
2017-09-04	2	2nd	8 10 20 24 37
2017-08-28	2	3rd	1 9 10 17 23
2017-08-21	5	1st	10 12 15 32 38
2017-08-03	16	1st	10 11 20 25 42
2017-06-08	4	3rd	5 6 10 21 37
2017-05-25	14	1st	10 13 26 27 42
2017-04-06	1	2nd	8 10 13 28 42
2017-04-03	12	1st	10 11 20 34 42
2017-02-20	6	2nd	9 10 35 40 41
2017-01-30	6	1st	10 11 24 31 39
2017-01-09	1	3rd	7 9 10 32 42
2017-01-05	4	1st	10 11 17 28 44
2016-12-22	3	2nd	2 10 23 33 44
2016-12-12	12	3rd	5 8 10 21 34
2016-10-31	10	2nd	5 10 21 28 34
2016-09-26	3	3rd	2 5 10 25 32
2016-09-15	2	1st	10 12 25 28 33
2016-09-08	1	2nd	7 10 25 39 44
2016-09-05	6	1st	10 17 25 28 32
2016-08-15	2	2nd	4 10 24 37 38
2016-08-08	3	1st	10 15 16 28 35
2016-07-28	8	3rd	1 7 10 19 27
2016-06-30	8	1st	10 27 33 36 37
2016-06-02	8	2nd	1 10 11 35 40
2016-05-05	1	1st	10 18 29 33 38
2016-05-02	26	2nd	5 10 13 22 32
2016-02-01	5	3rd	2 3 10 31 41
2016-01-14	20	1st	10 19 25 37 44
2015-11-05	14	1st	10 16 25 27 38
2015-09-17	1	1st	10 17 24 29 41
2015-09-14	11	2nd	5 10 16 23 31
2015-08-06	20	2nd	4 10 11 27 36
2015-05-25	—	2nd	7 10 20 32 36