Number 21

In Cowboy Draw under the 5/45 · since Mar 2015 rules — 1,206 draws, 5 from 1–45.

124times drawn · chance expected 134 −0.92σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 49% for any number

9.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

42longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long

21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 124 times in 1,206 draws against 134.0 expected, −0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 124 times in 1,206 draws · average wait 9.7 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 9.7
2nd smallest31 · chance 37.0
3rd smallest53 · chance 47.9
4th smallest30 · chance 25.0
5th smallest8 · chance 4.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 9 32 2 16 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-17	13	2nd	20 21 32 33 35
2026-08-03	15	3rd	9 16 21 25 41
2026-06-11	9	4th	11 12 13 21 38
2026-05-11	22	3rd	3 12 21

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-04-11	18	3rd	4 9 21 32 44
2024-02-08	7	3rd	9 13 21 24 40
2024-01-15	14	2nd	16 21 33 36 45
2023-11-27	7	4th	3 11 16 21 36
2023-11-02	12	3rd	2 8 21 30 32
2023-09-21	14	3rd	9 16 21 34 35
2023-08-03	16	3rd	6 9 21 38 45
2023-06-08	5	4th	4 6 15 21 25
2023-05-22	6	3rd	14 17 21 29 41
2023-05-01	3	2nd	20 21 25 44 45
2023-04-20	17	3rd	11 14 21 28 32
2023-02-20	15	3rd	7 19 21 32 45
2022-12-29	2	5th	1 7 8 9 21
2022-12-22	5	3rd	7 16 21 34 35
2022-12-05	2	2nd	9 21 30 34 41
2022-11-28	10	4th	5 10 15 21 45
2022-10-24	2	3rd	4 14 21 30 45
2022-10-17	12	3rd	9 19 21 35 43
2022-09-05	2	3rd	10 16 21 32 45
2022-08-29	13	4th	5 14 16 21 34
2022-07-14	4	3rd	8 12 21 35 45
2022-06-30	3	3rd	2 8 21 25 41
2022-06-20	1	4th	13 17 20 21 28
2022-06-16	1	2nd	5 21 24 35 42
2022-06-13	1	5th	1 5 12 19 21
2022-06-09	2	3rd	9 15 21 22 42
2022-06-02	16	5th	4 9 10 11 21
2022-04-07	17	3rd	4 11 21 33 42
2022-02-07	12	3rd	2 3 21 43 45
2021-12-27	25	2nd	1 21 24 27 35
2021-09-30	10	4th	1 9 12 21 35
2021-08-26	4	2nd	13 21 28 29 32
2021-08-12	3	2nd	2 21 24 32 35
2021-08-02	13	3rd	4 6 21 31 32
2021-06-17	35	2nd	6 21 23 37 39
2021-02-15	4	4th	5 11 12 21 33
2021-02-01	26	4th	5 10 19 21 43
2020-11-02	12	3rd	5 7 21 23 35
2020-09-21	6	4th	3 7 10 21 24
2020-08-31	5	4th	2 5 20 21 30
2020-08-13	4	2nd	15 21 25 41 43
2020-07-30	4	5th	2 5 11 19 21
2020-07-16	3	4th	5 12 19 21 45
2020-07-06	4	3rd	8 14 21 25 31
2020-06-22	6	2nd	3 21 24 27 32
2020-06-01	14	2nd	5 21 36 37 38
2020-04-13	6	2nd	5 21 23 27 40
2020-03-23	3	3rd	3 18 21 25 31
2020-03-12	5	4th	5 13 14 21 37
2020-02-24	3	2nd	15 21 29 42 45
2020-02-13	2	4th	9 10 13 21 41
2020-02-06	4	2nd	11 21 32 38 41
2020-01-23	34	3rd	2 14 21 41 42
2019-09-26	5	2nd	11 21 31 34 36
2019-09-09	6	3rd	16 17 21 22 40
2019-08-19	19	5th	6 9 10 11 21
2019-06-13	16	2nd	16 21 24 29 38
2019-04-18	3	2nd	20 21 26 36 42
2019-04-08	3	4th	2 7 20 21 33
2019-03-28	4	2nd	14 21 26 29 35
2019-03-14	7	4th	1 12 13 21 39
2019-02-18	14	3rd	10 13 21 30 43
2018-12-31	12	4th	7 12 14 21 43
2018-11-19	10	3rd	5 15 21 24 26
2018-10-15	13	3rd	4 19 21 23 41
2018-08-30	42	4th	2 9 16 21 39
2018-04-05	23	3rd	3 4 21 29 36
2018-01-15	1	3rd	14 19 21 30 31
2018-01-11	23	3rd	7 10 21 33 43
2017-10-23	2	4th	14 15 20 21 44
2017-10-16	3	2nd	4 21 40 42 43
2017-10-05	33	3rd	4 11 21 23 35
2017-06-12	1	2nd	3 21 22 34 42
2017-06-08	6	4th	5 6 10 21 37
2017-05-18	2	2nd	16 21 27 39 45
2017-05-11	30	3rd	13 20 21 37 44
2017-01-26	13	1st	21 34 35 37 41
2016-12-12	12	4th	5 8 10 21 34
2016-10-31	17	3rd	5 10 21 28 34
2016-09-01	9	3rd	6 15 21 28 38
2016-08-01	12	3rd	14 19 21 26 44
2016-06-20	12	4th	6 8 14 21 27
2016-05-09	6	5th	1 4 5 18 21
2016-04-18	6	2nd	1 21 30 31 36
2016-03-28	4	3rd	18 20 21 27 35
2016-03-14	29	2nd	16 21 22 27 29
2015-12-03	4	2nd	16 21 23 25 32
2015-11-19	2	3rd	5 6 21 41 43
2015-11-12	5	4th	5 16 20 21 24
2015-10-26	7	3rd	2 19 21 28 32
2015-10-01	7	3rd	2 11 21 26 39
2015-09-07	2	2nd	1 21 25 28 41
2015-08-31	4	3rd	2 3 21 32 39
2015-08-17	11	2nd	1 21 27 28 30
2015-07-09	5	3rd	2 5 21 35 36
2015-06-18	2	1st	21 23 30 35 39
2015-06-11	17	2nd	17 21 29 41 45
2015-04-13	4	2nd	4 21 29 30 33
2015-03-30	2	3rd	4 11 21 26 28
2015-03-23	—	5th	5 8 14 18 21