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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · AZ · ball game
Latest drawWednesday, 14 October 2026
Jackpot$565,500,000
Top prizeNot won — 24 draws unwonnext draw advertised at $600,000,000
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 15 Oct 2026, 10:17 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–45, plus 1 from 1–45. 3,880 draws held here since 1992-04-22 — 1,432 under the current rules.
Powerball changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 1,432 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Powerball come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Powerball already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 578 draws every number is expected about 64 times, and a ball favoured by more than 48% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 9 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 27 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 115, give or take 28. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

38.7% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

990 possible pairs, each expected together 5.8 times so far — and about 10 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 45 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

46% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 12.8% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 7.7 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 38 draws for every one of the 45 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

1,221,759 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 578 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 8, the highest near 38. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/45 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 4% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/45 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI
This game draws more than once. Each draw is its own record, read on its own: mixing them would put one draw’s numbers above another draw’s prize table.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 November 1997 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 577 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 28, 37) with the draw of 29 June 1996 — its closest relative in 577 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 October 1997): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈33M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 22,692 winners, 99% fewer than the 2.5M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Powerball | 0 | $565,500,000 |
| Match 5 | 0 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 12 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 | 335 | $100 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 793 | $100 |
| Match 3 | 20,480 | $7.00 |
| Match 2 + Powerball | 16,140 | $7.00 |
| Match 1 + Powerball | 125,999 | $4.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball | 306,627 | $4.00 |
| Match 2 | 22,692 | $8.00 |
| Match 5 (with Power Play) | 1 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 3 | $150,000 |
| Match 4 (with Power Play) | 87 | $300 |
| Match 3 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 193 | $300 |
| Match 3 (with Power Play) | 5,841 | $21.00 |
| Match 2 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 4,591 | $21.00 |
| Match 1 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 36,027 | $12.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 88,095 | $12.00 |
| Totals | 627,916 | — |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 0 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 5.8 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
At the $565,500,000 jackpot last advertised, and the 32,980,575 lines the last prize table implies were in play.
A $2.00 line returns about $5.62 — 100% of what it costs. That is the price of the entertainment, and it does not change with which numbers are on the line.
US$2 a line. The headline is a 30-year annuity; the cash option is about half of it, and 37% is the top federal rate before any state tax. At these sales a winning line expects about 26.99 co-winners, leaving 4% of the prize.
An average line would break even at a headline of about $570M — and even that is a break-even, not a profit, because a prize that size sells more lines and the extra sharing takes most of it back.
A model, with every parameter on the table — the whole calculation, and its sources → · the same figures for every game we can price →
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 14 | 23.2 |
| 2–3 | 13 | 16.9 |
| 4–5 | 20 | 12.3 |
| 6–7 | 11 | 8.9 |
| 8–9 | 9 | 6.5 |
| 10–11 | 11 | 4.7 |
| 12–13 | 5 | 3.4 |
| 14–15 | 0 | 2.5 |
| 16–17 | 2 | 1.8 |
| 18–19 | 0 | 1.3 |
| 20+ | 0 | 3.5 |