Chance Detective — which machine would you investigate? — LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle · F-43

Chance Detective

Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?

Main drum: 5 of 69. Bonus balls are excluded.

2026-11-09 · UTC483 DrawsSimulated evidence

Every machine here is simulated. No real lottery is being accused or predicted.

Machine A

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	9	35
2	7	35
3	4	35
4	132	35
5	9	35
6	124	35
7	8	35
8	7	35
9	12	35
10	5	35
11	12	35
12	8	35
13	9	35
14	126	35
15	9	35
16	133	35
17	5	35
18	9	35
19	5	35
20	7	35
21	9	35
22	9	35
23	11	35
24	144	35
25	14	35
26	128	35
27	11	35
28	13	35
29	12	35
30	7	35
31	9	35
32	10	35
33	11	35
34	136	35
35	8	35
36	135	35
37	8	35
38	6	35
39	10	35
40	12	35
41	5	35
42	11	35
43	8	35
44	151	35
45	10	35
46	144	35
47	11	35
48	8	35
49	7	35
50	6	35
51	16	35
52	9	35
53	13	35
54	137	35
55	11	35
56	144	35
57	9	35
58	4	35
59	8	35
60	8	35
61	14	35
62	13	35
63	9	35
64	126	35
65	10	35
66	142	35
67	15	35
68	14	35
69	9	35

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine B

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	31	35
2	26	35
3	23	35
4	40	35
5	44	35
6	34	35
7	36	35
8	37	35
9	42	35
10	41	35
11	37	35
12	33	35
13	41	35
14	40	35
15	35	35
16	37	35
17	34	35
18	39	35
19	24	35
20	44	35
21	47	35
22	38	35
23	31	35
24	39	35
25	35	35
26	44	35
27	37	35
28	43	35
29	40	35
30	29	35
31	28	35
32	38	35
33	39	35
34	39	35
35	38	35
36	31	35
37	47	35
38	34	35
39	26	35
40	32	35
41	34	35
42	33	35
43	29	35
44	25	35
45	34	35
46	34	35
47	26	35
48	36	35
49	33	35
50	36	35
51	34	35
52	31	35
53	33	35
54	39	35
55	35	35
56	31	35
57	36	35
58	33	35
59	36	35
60	33	35
61	35	35
62	41	35
63	35	35
64	31	35
65	34	35
66	38	35
67	28	35
68	26	35
69	33	35

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine C

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	40	35
2	30	35
3	36	35
4	34	35
5	33	35
6	34	35
7	31	35
8	46	35
9	33	35
10	29	35
11	34	35
12	31	35
13	38	35
14	38	35
15	33	35
16	36	35
17	51	35
18	28	35
19	40	35
20	30	35
21	35	35
22	30	35
23	40	35
24	25	35
25	38	35
26	41	35
27	37	35
28	40	35
29	28	35
30	36	35
31	30	35
32	32	35
33	35	35
34	36	35
35	31	35
36	33	35
37	27	35
38	41	35
39	35	35
40	28	35
41	33	35
42	31	35
43	36	35
44	36	35
45	32	35
46	37	35
47	37	35
48	41	35
49	27	35
50	31	35
51	37	35
52	41	35
53	41	35
54	47	35
55	31	35
56	43	35
57	35	35
58	29	35
59	34	35
60	31	35
61	40	35
62	39	35
63	35	35
64	38	35
65	33	35
66	35	35
67	33	35
68	31	35
69	38	35

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Make a judgment for all three machines before the reveal.

199 independent fair histories; 3 comparisons. · chance-detective-v1 · seed 1962849966

The maths, in plain language

The story behind it