In Mega Millions under the 5/70 + 1/24 · since Apr 2025 rules — 159 draws, 1 from 1–24.
6times drawn · chance expected 7 −0.25σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 96% for any number
30.4average wait between appearances · chance says 24.0
88longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long
22 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 6 times in 159 draws against 6.6 expected, −0.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
22
Number 22, draw by draw
Drawn 6 times in 159 draws · average wait 30.4 draws · longest completed wait 88 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 23 of the other 23 numbers; chance expects about 23 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 14th most popular of 24. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 1/24 tonight whatever it did last week.