Number 4

In The Pick under the 6/44 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,961 draws, 6 from 1–44.

242times drawn · chance expected 267 −1.67σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.3

44longest completed wait · 36% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 242 times in 1,961 draws against 267.4 expected, −1.67σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 242 times in 1,961 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 44 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest177 · chance 165.4
2nd smallest62 · chance 68.9
3rd smallest3 · chance 7.5
4th smallest0 · chance 0.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 28.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 11 8 15 22 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 43 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 44. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	6	1st	4 15 19 21 25 40
2026-09-26	3	1st	4 5 6 25 31 35
2026-09-19	8	1st	4 6 9 19 20 30
2026-08-31	5	1st	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/44 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-03-05	13	1st	4 5 13 20 31 41
2025-02-03	8	2nd	1 4 11 27 37 39
2025-01-15	7	1st	4 9 11 21 35 40
2024-12-30	6	1st	4 13 16 31 35 38
2024-12-16	4	1st	4 8 36 38 40 42
2024-12-07	8	1st	4 13 21 34 37 41
2024-11-18	17	2nd	1 4 8 11 18 31
2024-10-09	9	2nd	2 4 6 7 32 34
2024-09-18	5	2nd	2 4 7 22 28 37
2024-09-07	3	1st	4 8 15 17 31 41
2024-08-31	1	1st	4 20 22 27 34 44
2024-08-28	2	1st	4 8 11 13 17 23
2024-08-24	15	1st	4 11 28 29 30 34
2024-07-20	14	1st	4 10 11 12 21 22
2024-06-17	5	2nd	1 4 25 26 35 39
2024-06-05	9	1st	4 7 12 16 22 33
2024-05-15	12	1st	4 5 32 37 38 42
2024-04-17	1	1st	4 12 13 17 27 32
2024-04-15	6	1st	4 7 12 15 24 33
2024-04-01	9	1st	4 9 15 21 29 30
2024-03-11	13	1st	4 10 14 29 30 42
2024-02-10	7	1st	4 18 28 29 37 44
2024-01-24	1	1st	4 8 9 23 40 41
2024-01-22	4	1st	4 10 29 33 35 41
2024-01-13	16	1st	4 10 14 17 18 36
2023-12-06	6	1st	4 5 18 30 38 40
2023-11-22	1	1st	4 16 26 28 32 44
2023-11-20	1	2nd	1 4 15 16 21 30
2023-11-18	1	1st	4 10 27 29 31 38
2023-11-15	2	1st	4 7 13 15 17 28
2023-11-11	6	1st	4 9 13 18 23 41
2023-10-28	2	1st	4 6 7 23 24 39
2023-10-23	3	1st	4 8 14 36 37 40
2023-10-16	8	2nd	1 4 8 13 26 44
2023-09-27	1	1st	4 6 25 27 31 41
2023-09-25	16	2nd	1 4 10 14 35 37
2023-08-19	11	1st	4 6 7 21 24 25
2023-07-24	9	2nd	1 4 23 24 28 35
2023-07-03	5	1st	4 5 11 15 19 35
2023-06-21	14	1st	4 13 21 22 31 41
2023-05-20	5	1st	4 19 28 33 39 40
2023-05-08	25	1st	4 23 27 28 35 43
2023-03-11	1	1st	4 7 28 32 38 44
2023-03-08	6	2nd	1 4 16 22 25 37
2023-02-22	19	2nd	1 4 9 28 29 44
2023-01-09	1	1st	4 8 22 32 33 43
2023-01-07	3	1st	4 16 29 33 35 37
2022-12-31	6	1st	4 10 12 24 25 32
2022-12-17	8	1st	4 17 18 30 34 44
2022-11-28	4	2nd	1 4 6 11 22 44
2022-11-19	2	2nd	2 4 10 19 23 32
2022-11-14	1	2nd	1 4 21 23 25 34
2022-11-12	18	1st	4 10 26 37 42 44
2022-10-01	5	1st	4 14 19 24 27 30
2022-09-19	6	2nd	2 4 14 15 26 33
2022-09-05	10	1st	4 8 18 25 34 40
2022-08-13	22	2nd	2 4 11 13 18 43
2022-06-22	8	1st	4 21 25 28 41 42
2022-06-04	23	1st	4 9 10 27 39 40
2022-04-11	1	2nd	1 4 6 30 36 42
2022-04-09	14	2nd	2 4 19 35 37 40
2022-02-23	4	1st	4 7 9 20 29 39
2022-02-09	2	1st	4 6 20 28 39 42
2022-02-02	15	3rd	1 3 4 9 23 30
2021-12-11	9	1st	4 7 23 25 26 30
2021-11-10	9	1st	4 5 6 10 32 42
2021-10-09	1	1st	4 5 10 13 32 44
2021-10-06	1	1st	4 10 21 26 33 35
2021-10-02	1	2nd	1 4 11 15 18 19
2021-09-29	9	1st	4 15 16 22 27 31
2021-08-28	4	1st	4 6 12 26 31 43
2021-08-14	7	1st	4 24 26 36 39 42
2021-07-21	3	1st	4 6 10 34 42 44
2021-07-10	3	1st	4 7 20 25 31 42
2021-06-30	15	1st	4 28 30 32 38 39
2021-05-08	4	1st	4 11 26 27 35 43
2021-04-24	22	1st	4 5 22 31 36 40
2021-02-06	32	1st	4 7 24 27 34 41
2020-10-17	1	1st	4 8 11 25 37 44
2020-10-14	1	1st	4 13 20 21 32 37
2020-10-10	11	1st	4 6 22 35 42 44
2020-09-02	6	1st	4 6 9 11 32 33
2020-08-12	2	1st	4 21 23 24 28 34
2020-08-05	2	1st	4 10 15 33 38 42
2020-07-29	16	1st	4 5 27 32 35 36
2020-06-03	11	1st	4 6 19 38 41 44
2020-04-25	15	1st	4 12 18 24 33 39
2020-03-04	14	3rd	1 2 4 11 26 38
2020-01-15	44	2nd	2 4 20 21 27 39
2019-08-14	9	1st	4 6 28 38 39 43
2019-07-13	11	2nd	1 4 22 31 36 38
2019-06-05	6	1st	4 14 22 24 28 43
2019-05-15	5	2nd	1 4 7 14 26 43
2019-04-27	4	1st	4 5 24 28 34 37
2019-04-13	1	1st	4 28 40 41 43 44
2019-04-10	7	1st	4 10 25 30 34 35
2019-03-16	1	2nd	3 4 11 30 33 38
2019-03-13	1	1st	4 14 18 22 23 29
2019-03-09	14	1st	4 7 8 18 19 22
2019-01-19	7	1st	4 8 16 23 41 42
2018-12-26	6	1st	4 14 18 22 26 40
2018-12-05	3	2nd	3 4 9 10 18 25
2018-11-24	3	1st	4 11 15 21 33 39
2018-11-14	8	1st	4 5 9 19 25 39
2018-10-17	5	1st	4 19 23 40 41 42
2018-09-29	9	1st	4 8 11 13 32 39
2018-08-29	8	2nd	1 4 12 14 15 33
2018-08-01	13	1st	4 23 24 27 39 43
2018-06-16	4	1st	4 9 15 17 23 42
2018-06-02	4	1st	4 5 15 18 28 33
2018-05-19	3	2nd	3 4 20 30 36 38
2018-05-09	4	1st	4 11 14 17 29 36
2018-04-25	24	1st	4 11 23 25 29 30
2018-01-31	5	1st	4 8 13 31 32 42
2018-01-13	4	1st	4 6 8 11 21 43
2017-12-30	4	1st	4 15 19 24 38 39
2017-12-16	15	1st	4 14 23 33 39 41
2017-10-25	4	1st	4 10 11 15 27 40
2017-10-11	2	1st	4 5 16 33 40 44
2017-10-04	1	2nd	1 4 6 27 30 35
2017-09-30	5	1st	4 8 12 25 32 42
2017-09-13	22	1st	4 15 20 21 26 34
2017-06-28	11	1st	4 9 23 33 42 43
2017-05-20	1	1st	4 20 36 39 40 44
2017-05-17	10	1st	4 7 10 15 21 34
2017-04-12	2	1st	4 8 12 16 19 21
2017-04-05	1	1st	4 8 10 21 22 24
2017-04-01	6	1st	4 12 13 14 33 37
2017-03-11	6	2nd	2 4 7 24 42 43
2017-02-18	9	2nd	2 4 16 17 37 42
2017-01-18	6	1st	4 19 20 33 34 40
2016-12-28	2	1st	4 15 18 22 33 35
2016-12-21	3	1st	4 7 8 21 28 36
2016-12-10	17	2nd	3 4 15 22 28 37
2016-10-12	3	1st	4 11 13 26 31 37
2016-10-01	7	2nd	3 4 26 28 37 44
2016-09-07	17	1st	4 10 23 29 31 34
2016-07-09	30	1st	4 14 23 28 35 42
2016-03-26	2	2nd	2 4 6 16 20 21
2016-03-19	14	2nd	3 4 6 7 14 27
2016-01-30	1	2nd	2 4 16 21 31 38
2016-01-27	4	2nd	3 4 5 10 18 32
2016-01-13	8	1st	4 6 26 41 42 43
2015-12-16	1	1st	4 12 27 28 32 41
2015-12-12	10	2nd	2 4 21 22 31 35
2015-11-07	8	2nd	3 4 16 18 27 38
2015-10-10	9	2nd	1 4 18 22 30 34
2015-09-09	4	1st	4 12 21 22 25 37
2015-08-26	31	1st	4 14 17 19 21 44
2015-05-09	5	1st	4 7 8 15 34 38
2015-04-22	14	1st	4 9 10 18 39 44
2015-03-04	2	1st	4 9 17 25 26 29
2015-02-25	15	2nd	1 4 12 26 32 33
2015-01-03	8	1st	4 5 7 13 23 40
2014-12-06	11	2nd	3 4 19 22 31 44
2014-10-29	13	1st	4 19 20 26 36 43
2014-09-13	6	1st	4 13 18 25 36 39
2014-08-23	2	2nd	3 4 11 21 36 37
2014-08-16	2	1st	4 11 26 31 40 44
2014-08-09	5	2nd	2 4 19 20 23 29
2014-07-23	14	2nd	1 4 10 15 32 33
2014-06-04	16	1st	4 8 10 18 24 38
2014-04-09	11	1st	4 7 13 15 19 29
2014-03-01	9	1st	4 8 21 22 26 29
2014-01-29	6	1st	4 22 31 35 40 44
2014-01-08	9	1st	4 8 11 18 22 38
2013-12-07	1	1st	4 6 8 18 29 30
2013-12-04	14	2nd	2 4 28 30 31 44
2013-10-16	10	1st	4 8 11 17 20 25
2013-09-11	7	2nd	2 4 11 18 29 38
2013-08-17	6	1st	4 26 27 29 30 42
2013-07-27	10	1st	4 7 11 14 31 41
2013-06-22	2	1st	4 5 15 31 37 42
2013-06-15	8	1st	4 5 16 18 31 32
2013-05-18	4	1st	4 8 14 16 23 35
2013-05-04	1	1st	4 9 16 19 24 34
2013-05-01	23	1st	4 9 24 26 28 39
2013-02-09	4	1st	4 13 21 24 31 42
2013-01-26	6	2nd	1 4 11 15 24 31
2013-01-05	19	2nd	1 4 9 10 19 35
2012-10-31	2	1st	4 21 27 32 33 41
2012-10-24	1	2nd	2 4 15 25 33 44
2012-10-20	16	1st	4 16 20 24 28 44
2012-08-25	10	1st	4 6 8 25 29 39
2012-07-21	40	1st	4 8 14 16 32 36
2012-03-03	3	1st	4 16 22 27 38 44
2012-02-22	1	1st	4 14 21 25 34 40
2012-02-18	1	2nd	1 4 19 26 36 39
2012-02-15	13	1st	4 10 14 15 26 32
2011-12-31	12	1st	4 21 31 34 40 44
2011-11-19	6	3rd	1 2 4 12 20 32
2011-10-29	6	1st	4 8 11 15 36 39
2011-10-08	19	1st	4 19 20 24 30 43
2011-08-03	1	2nd	2 4 16 31 35 43
2011-07-30	3	1st	4 5 8 24 31 35
2011-07-20	20	2nd	2 4 18 32 33 36
2011-05-11	3	1st	4 6 10 18 26 42
2011-04-30	5	1st	4 21 24 34 37 40
2011-04-13	3	1st	4 5 23 25 31 43
2011-04-02	2	2nd	1 4 9 26 29 34
2011-03-26	9	1st	4 11 21 23 34 44
2011-02-23	1	1st	4 9 16 29 38 41
2011-02-19	1	1st	4 9 13 22 26 40
2011-02-16	5	2nd	1 4 6 10 28 30
2011-01-29	11	1st	4 17 24 28 29 34
2010-12-22	7	1st	4 5 21 22 26 44
2010-11-27	1	1st	4 12 22 23 26 44
2010-11-24	10	1st	4 5 7 8 12 30
2010-10-20	10	1st	4 17 24 30 39 42
2010-09-15	10	1st	4 11 16 28 42 43
2010-08-11	7	2nd	3 4 11 20 25 36
2010-07-17	6	1st	4 7 13 19 35 44
2010-06-26	3	2nd	1 4 18 33 37 40
2010-06-16	2	2nd	1 4 14 25 33 38
2010-06-09	2	2nd	3 4 6 21 27 29
2010-06-02	2	2nd	3 4 5 9 18 27
2010-05-26	11	1st	4 9 11 15 28 32
2010-04-17	—	1st	4 8 9 11 13 41