Wednesday, 5 April 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 8, 10, 24) with the draw of 4 June 2014 — its closest relative in 731 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 April 2017): 4 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 89 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.