Wednesday, 26 December 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 22, 26, 40) with the draw of 19 February 2011 — its closest relative in 911 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 December 2018): 22 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 124 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.