Number 15

In The Pick under the 6/44 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,961 draws, 6 from 1–44.

301times drawn · chance expected 267 +2.21σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.3

30longest completed wait · 99% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 301 times in 1,961 draws against 267.4 expected, +2.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 301 times in 1,961 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 30 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest29 · chance 37.1
2nd smallest116 · chance 104.0
3rd smallest104 · chance 104.0
4th smallest47 · chance 46.2
5th smallest4 · chance 9.1
6th smallest1 · chance 0.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 35.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 18 14 21 22 35

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 43 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 44. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	17	2nd	4 15 19 21 25 40
2026-08-31	1	3rd	4 9 15 20 22 35
2026-08-29	6	2nd	8 15 19 32 35 39
2026-08-15	1	2nd	10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/44 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-12-01	3	3rd	4 12 15 16 24 25
2025-11-24	19	4th	3 13 14 15 19 26
2025-10-11	10	2nd	13 15 20 21 32 41
2025-09-17	30	4th	6 10 12 15 29 40
2025-07-09	3	3rd	2 9 15 36 37 39
2025-07-02	3	2nd	10 15 28 29 33 44
2025-06-25	3	3rd	6 11 15 23 26 30
2025-06-18	7	3rd	8 11 15 27 32 35
2025-06-02	11	2nd	14 15 16 34 36 41
2025-05-07	7	3rd	4 11 15 22 35 38
2025-04-21	8	3rd	1 5 15 21 24 35
2025-04-02	6	2nd	3 15 18 33 36 38
2025-03-19	16	3rd	3 5 15 23 26 40
2025-02-10	9	1st	15 17 30 37 40 41
2025-01-20	1	5th	2 7 9 14 15 16
2025-01-18	21	3rd	3 12 15 31 33 44
2024-11-30	2	1st	15 26 29 36 37 39
2024-11-25	5	2nd	12 15 22 28 32 36
2024-11-13	2	4th	1 10 12 15 18 19
2024-11-09	10	2nd	5 15 26 27 36 44
2024-10-16	1	3rd	2 9 15 28 40 42
2024-10-14	16	4th	3 7 9 15 22 35
2024-09-07	15	3rd	4 8 15 17 31 41
2024-08-03	1	3rd	12 14 15 17 24 40
2024-07-31	3	4th	1 5 9 15 16 26
2024-07-24	4	3rd	8 13 15 18 26 43
2024-07-15	3	1st	15 28 30 34 37 39
2024-07-08	25	2nd	13 15 18 23 42 44
2024-05-11	2	4th	1 12 14 15 24 36
2024-05-06	3	2nd	11 15 23 28 29 43
2024-04-29	6	3rd	5 7 15 29 30 40
2024-04-15	5	4th	4 7 12 15 24 33
2024-04-03	1	3rd	3 8 15 30 38 44
2024-04-01	1	3rd	4 9 15 21 29 30
2024-03-30	3	2nd	7 15 18 23 30 40
2024-03-23	12	2nd	13 15 26 33 34 37
2024-02-24	1	1st	15 25 26 27 30 44
2024-02-21	7	2nd	5 15 17 24 39 42
2024-02-05	3	4th	3 5 11 15 34 40
2024-01-29	10	2nd	2 15 38 41 43 44
2024-01-06	3	2nd	2 15 22 24 30 44
2023-12-30	6	5th	7 8 9 13 15 22
2023-12-16	6	2nd	1 15 25 28 39 43
2023-12-02	5	2nd	6 15 21 27 33 36
2023-11-20	2	3rd	1 4 15 16 21 30
2023-11-15	18	4th	4 7 13 15 17 28
2023-10-04	15	1st	15 17 23 29 35 37
2023-08-30	7	2nd	10 15 17 27 29 42
2023-08-14	18	3rd	6 9 15 21 22 23
2023-07-03	8	4th	4 5 11 15 19 35
2023-06-14	3	4th	5 8 14 15 24 36
2023-06-07	7	3rd	2 6 15 19 31 34
2023-05-22	5	3rd	2 6 15 17 22 33
2023-05-10	3	2nd	5 15 18 24 34 40
2023-05-03	6	3rd	1 9 15 30 35 36
2023-04-19	1	4th	5 10 11 15 16 33
2023-04-17	6	3rd	3 11 15 19 32 37
2023-04-03	8	3rd	12 14 15 20 28 42
2023-03-15	5	2nd	11 15 25 33 37 41
2023-03-04	2	3rd	2 12 15 27 28 43
2023-02-27	8	3rd	2 12 15 20 33 34
2023-02-08	16	3rd	5 14 15 21 42 44
2023-01-02	2	2nd	12 15 16 28 37 39
2022-12-28	8	1st	15 17 18 19 39 41
2022-12-10	7	4th	5 7 12 15 21 31
2022-11-23	21	4th	2 13 14 15 19 26
2022-10-05	7	2nd	7 15 18 25 40 43
2022-09-19	2	4th	2 4 14 15 26 33
2022-09-14	2	3rd	1 11 15 17 37 39
2022-09-10	8	1st	15 25 31 36 42 43
2022-08-22	3	2nd	1 15 22 26 39 41
2022-08-15	5	2nd	2 15 25 33 36 43
2022-08-03	10	3rd	8 10 15 23 31 38
2022-07-11	15	2nd	3 15 18 19 40 41
2022-06-06	2	3rd	8 10 15 34 37 38
2022-06-01	2	2nd	14 15 22 29 41 42
2022-05-28	9	2nd	11 15 23 28 35 42
2022-05-07	5	2nd	13 15 24 31 38 40
2022-04-25	9	3rd	7 10 15 18 21 30
2022-04-04	11	2nd	13 15 21 22 32 44
2022-02-26	6	3rd	11 14 15 22 27 38
2022-02-05	7	2nd	7 15 16 27 30 44
2022-01-12	2	3rd	1 11 15 33 36 38
2022-01-05	9	1st	15 21 22 30 34 35
2021-12-04	18	2nd	2 15 17 18 39 41
2021-10-02	1	4th	1 4 11 15 18 19
2021-09-29	2	2nd	4 15 16 22 27 31
2021-09-22	8	2nd	6 15 16 24 35 40
2021-08-25	2	3rd	11 14 15 18 30 34
2021-08-18	2	2nd	8 15 18 21 28 30
2021-08-11	7	1st	15 20 21 24 31 42
2021-07-17	8	4th	3 8 14 15 16 33
2021-06-19	3	2nd	11 15 24 26 30 40
2021-06-09	3	2nd	7 15 29 31 42 44
2021-05-29	1	2nd	8 15 19 29 35 41
2021-05-26	1	4th	2 9 14 15 27 44
2021-05-22	7	4th	11 13 14 15 16 43
2021-04-28	8	4th	5 7 14 15 28 40
2021-03-31	6	1st	15 18 25 28 32 42
2021-03-10	2	1st	15 25 31 37 43 44
2021-03-03	1	2nd	8 15 16 19 20 32
2021-02-27	7	3rd	2 11 15 20 38 44
2021-02-03	12	5th	1 2 7 13 15 18
2020-12-23	25	4th	2 5 13 15 27 41
2020-09-26	1	3rd	1 11 15 21 28 36
2020-09-23	14	3rd	6 14 15 19 25 27
2020-08-05	4	3rd	4 10 15 33 38 42
2020-07-22	7	3rd	9 12 15 32 34 39
2020-06-27	6	2nd	8 15 21 28 31 32
2020-06-06	2	1st	15 21 27 29 39 41
2020-05-30	1	4th	1 3 10 15 37 41
2020-05-27	1	3rd	11 12 15 17 37 43
2020-05-23	7	2nd	6 15 20 26 41 44
2020-04-29	2	3rd	1 3 15 21 31 41
2020-04-22	19	3rd	7 8 15 30 33 35
2020-02-15	6	2nd	1 15 19 20 38 43
2020-01-25	11	2nd	2 15 17 23 28 39
2019-12-18	5	3rd	9 12 15 21 31 43
2019-11-30	12	3rd	9 10 15 23 25 27
2019-10-19	4	1st	15 22 23 28 32 33
2019-10-05	29	1st	15 16 21 32 33 43
2019-06-26	4	3rd	3 14 15 20 29 43
2019-06-12	7	4th	3 12 14 15 21 32
2019-05-18	7	2nd	8 15 20 22 26 36
2019-04-24	17	2nd	11 15 25 27 30 35
2019-02-23	1	4th	1 9 13 15 20 42
2019-02-20	6	2nd	3 15 20 32 38 43
2019-01-30	1	3rd	6 9 15 18 24 27
2019-01-26	1	2nd	9 15 19 21 25 34
2019-01-23	10	3rd	2 14 15 25 41 44
2018-12-19	7	2nd	1 15 18 20 28 31
2018-11-24	13	3rd	4 11 15 21 33 39
2018-10-10	4	2nd	5 15 28 30 31 36
2018-09-26	4	3rd	1 2 15 24 29 35
2018-09-12	4	4th	1 3 14 15 16 35
2018-08-29	15	5th	1 4 12 14 15 33
2018-07-07	6	2nd	5 15 20 25 34 39
2018-06-16	4	3rd	4 9 15 17 23 42
2018-06-02	10	3rd	4 5 15 18 28 33
2018-04-28	5	2nd	7 15 17 35 36 38
2018-04-11	12	1st	15 16 23 36 37 43
2018-02-28	4	2nd	13 15 16 35 39 41
2018-02-14	2	3rd	11 12 15 18 40 43
2018-02-07	11	3rd	7 8 15 20 22 38
2017-12-30	15	2nd	4 15 19 24 38 39
2017-11-08	1	3rd	8 11 15 17 18 30
2017-11-04	1	3rd	6 13 15 23 31 41
2017-11-01	1	2nd	9 15 25 30 41 42
2017-10-28	1	2nd	7 15 19 27 31 43
2017-10-25	11	4th	4 10 11 15 27 40
2017-09-16	1	2nd	13 15 22 25 31 42
2017-09-13	6	2nd	4 15 20 21 26 34
2017-08-23	6	2nd	13 15 17 23 29 41
2017-08-02	2	3rd	5 9 15 17 27 34
2017-07-26	12	2nd	1 15 23 26 28 31
2017-06-14	8	4th	1 12 13 15 23 44
2017-05-17	4	4th	4 7 10 15 21 34
2017-05-03	2	4th	1 5 6 15 22 32
2017-04-26	8	3rd	5 7 15 28 43 44
2017-03-29	19	3rd	2 14 15 25 36 43
2017-01-21	6	1st	15 19 20 30 37 42
2016-12-31	1	3rd	1 3 15 21 38 42
2016-12-28	5	2nd	4 15 18 22 33 35
2016-12-10	4	3rd	3 4 15 22 28 37
2016-11-26	3	2nd	1 15 29 34 35 37
2016-11-16	5	2nd	6 15 21 25 27 30
2016-10-29	22	2nd	7 15 16 20 33 44
2016-08-13	1	4th	1 5 8 15 23 26
2016-08-10	7	2nd	14 15 19 26 33 38
2016-07-16	6	3rd	6 13 15 23 28 29
2016-06-25	2	2nd	5 15 16 18 26 33
2016-06-18	28	3rd	1 14 15 19 38 44
2016-03-12	6	2nd	6 15 16 23 26 38
2016-02-20	1	2nd	9 15 16 21 35 42
2016-02-17	7	2nd	11 15 20 28 35 41
2016-01-23	10	2nd	5 15 16 21 22 40
2015-12-19	17	2nd	2 15 20 22 25 29
2015-10-21	9	2nd	8 15 20 23 41 42
2015-09-19	19	3rd	1 10 15 17 18 39
2015-07-15	14	2nd	13 15 16 19 33 37
2015-05-27	5	3rd	10 14 15 26 39 42
2015-05-09	8	4th	4 7 8 15 34 38
2015-04-11	5	3rd	1 7 15 23 28 44
2015-03-25	2	1st	15 17 22 28 30 44
2015-03-18	9	4th	2 5 14 15 30 35
2015-02-14	2	6th	2 3 6 8 11 15
2015-02-07	15	2nd	6 15 17 20 21 33
2014-12-17	15	2nd	14 15 24 32 40 43
2014-10-25	3	2nd	2 15 20 22 29 35
2014-10-15	8	3rd	2 13 15 23 24 43
2014-09-17	5	3rd	1 6 15 18 28 34
2014-08-30	11	3rd	6 14 15 16 37 40
2014-07-23	2	4th	1 4 10 15 32 33
2014-07-16	2	3rd	11 14 15 22 26 44
2014-07-09	4	2nd	1 15 16 25 29 31
2014-06-25	3	2nd	9 15 22 31 42 43
2014-06-14	6	2nd	1 15 25 26 30 34
2014-05-24	13	3rd	3 9 15 21 22 24
2014-04-09	2	4th	4 7 13 15 19 29
2014-04-02	3	1st	15 19 22 27 34 43
2014-03-22	3	4th	9 11 12 15 22 35
2014-03-12	7	3rd	9 11 15 23 37 42
2014-02-15	1	2nd	2 15 28 37 40 44
2014-02-12	2	3rd	2 8 15 29 32 44
2014-02-05	11	1st	15 16 21 23 35 41
2013-12-28	4	2nd	3 15 27 35 36 40
2013-12-14	4	2nd	6 15 22 31 37 44
2013-11-30	22	2nd	10 15 34 38 39 42
2013-09-14	2	2nd	11 15 27 29 37 39
2013-09-07	14	2nd	8 15 16 20 27 29
2013-07-20	2	2nd	13 15 16 22 28 35
2013-07-13	4	2nd	7 15 27 30 37 39
2013-06-29	1	1st	15 19 22 26 39 40
2013-06-26	1	2nd	14 15 24 29 36 43
2013-06-22	25	3rd	4 5 15 31 37 42
2013-03-27	1	3rd	8 14 15 16 26 29
2013-03-23	14	3rd	1 8 15 18 22 25
2013-02-02	2	2nd	2 15 27 37 43 44
2013-01-26	1	4th	1 4 11 15 24 31
2013-01-23	4	1st	15 18 26 27 37 41
2013-01-09	5	3rd	6 14 15 17 27 40
2012-12-22	8	3rd	6 10 15 19 31 32
2012-11-24	3	1st	15 20 32 35 42 43
2012-11-14	3	1st	15 16 18 23 33 35
2012-11-03	2	3rd	7 8 15 21 28 44
2012-10-27	1	2nd	1 15 16 20 33 34
2012-10-24	6	3rd	2 4 15 25 33 44
2012-10-03	1	2nd	5 15 26 28 39 41
2012-09-29	14	2nd	5 15 24 28 35 36
2012-08-11	1	2nd	12 15 22 24 34 42
2012-08-08	6	4th	2 3 12 15 18 34
2012-07-18	7	2nd	9 15 24 33 37 40
2012-06-23	9	2nd	2 15 27 31 41 42
2012-05-23	1	2nd	2 15 25 34 39 40
2012-05-19	4	1st	15 18 19 21 23 26
2012-05-05	2	3rd	3 11 15 35 39 40
2012-04-28	3	3rd	10 11 15 19 26 41
2012-04-18	11	3rd	5 14 15 18 31 36
2012-03-10	3	3rd	5 9 15 23 24 26
2012-02-29	4	2nd	12 15 17 23 32 43
2012-02-15	21	4th	4 10 14 15 26 32
2011-12-03	2	2nd	1 15 18 23 25 32
2011-11-26	8	3rd	6 7 15 18 24 25
2011-10-29	2	4th	4 8 11 15 36 39
2011-10-22	6	3rd	1 14 15 21 25 30
2011-10-01	7	2nd	2 15 31 32 35 43
2011-09-07	1	2nd	7 15 16 22 26 31
2011-09-03	7	1st	15 16 25 28 34 35
2011-08-10	4	3rd	1 14 15 18 37 40
2011-07-27	9	3rd	7 14 15 18 28 43
2011-06-25	1	3rd	3 6 15 30 35 39
2011-06-22	2	3rd	5 9 15 21 22 26
2011-06-15	6	2nd	10 15 16 25 26 44
2011-05-25	1	3rd	3 9 15 17 39 40
2011-05-21	4	4th	3 7 13 15 18 43
2011-05-07	4	3rd	3 6 15 18 38 40
2011-04-23	9	2nd	2 15 17 34 37 44
2011-03-23	14	3rd	1 3 15 20 29 36
2011-02-02	4	3rd	1 8 15 24 35 36
2011-01-19	1	3rd	7 14 15 17 20 33
2011-01-15	1	1st	15 18 21 29 33 35
2011-01-12	2	2nd	7 15 16 23 24 30
2011-01-05	16	2nd	5 15 16 19 39 43
2010-11-10	4	2nd	5 15 19 32 33 36
2010-10-27	1	4th	2 9 11 15 23 32
2010-10-23	3	4th	2 7 12 15 29 39
2010-10-13	11	3rd	1 7 15 24 31 41
2010-09-04	2	2nd	8 15 21 23 30 37
2010-08-28	1	4th	1 2 6 15 17 28
2010-08-25	3	4th	1 5 13 15 30 35
2010-08-14	6	2nd	10 15 20 25 35 37
2010-07-24	9	2nd	2 15 17 21 40 41
2010-06-23	1	3rd	6 14 15 18 25 38
2010-06-19	7	2nd	6 15 22 28 36 37
2010-05-26	10	4th	4 9 11 15 28 32
2010-04-21	4	3rd	8 10 15 20 26 41
2010-04-07	—	2nd	12 15 23 28 40 42