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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 21 September 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 14
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 32
  6. 34
  7. 3

JackpotNZ$16,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 618 of 1,352 under them

← 2019-09-18All recent draws2019-09-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 14 19 23 32 34 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

793times
1496times
19112times
2395times
32

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 6.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$581.9Kto 25k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$87.1K
  • Match 3 + Powerball55%NZ$319.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$81.2K
  • 3 other tiers16%NZ$94.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

94times
3484times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

356times

Every number was expected about that many times after 617 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 14, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 March 2019 — its closest relative in 617 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 September 2019): 7, 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$16,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball51≈ 36 by chanceNZ$954
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,644≈ 1.5k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball21,283≈ 21k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$34,432
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball125NZ$90.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,030NZ$40.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,644 winners, 10% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$16,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$34,432
    Match 5 + Powerball51NZ$954
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball125NZ$90.00
    Match 4 + Powerball1,644NZ$53.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,030NZ$40.00
    Match 3 + Powerball21,283NZ$15.00
    Totals25,134—