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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 30 July 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 22
  3. 30
  4. 35
  5. 38
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,186 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-07-29All recent draws2022-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 22 30 35 38 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 280 of each

8270times
22290times
30310times
35248times
38

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£837.8Kto 152k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£146.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£270.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£206.5K
  • 5 other tiers26%£214.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

270times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each

12147times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,185 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 30, 35, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 November 2011 — its closest relative in 2,185 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 48% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2022): 22 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 3.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 42 by chance£250
  • Match 4440≈ 547 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,152≈ 1.4k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,985≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,638≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball54,101≈ 57k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball68,838≈ 69k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 440 winners, 20% fewer than the 547 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball68,838£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball54,101£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,985£10.00
    Match 314,638£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,152£20.00
    Match 4440£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000