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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£45,681,300
The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 948 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 947 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 25, 31) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 November 2024 — its closest relative in 947 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 October 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 116 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 854 winners, 29% more than the 660 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,166,133 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 521,011 | £3.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 109,256 | £5.40 |
| Match 3 | 80,170 | £6.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,481 | £10.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 36,614 | £7.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,430 | £47.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,784 | £26.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 854 | £74.40 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32 | £1,079 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £9,234 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £237,057 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £45,681,300 |