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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£25,768,241
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 936 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 September 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 935 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 10, 31, 37) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 February 2021 — its closest relative in 935 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 9.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 September 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 106 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,911 winners, 19% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,136,356 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 502,978 | £3.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 118,433 | £4.80 |
| Match 3 | 81,573 | £5.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,276 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 36,368 | £7.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,674 | £39.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,911 | £24.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 761 | £81.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 49 | £684 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £21,527 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £230,268 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £25,768,241 |