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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£120,099,439
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 837 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 84 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 139 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 836 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 22, 41, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 18 October 2019 — its closest relative in 836 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 8.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 142 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,358,844 winners, 12% more than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,358,844 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 587,531 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 141,713 | £5.50 |
| Match 3 | 93,991 | £6.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,227 | £11.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 40,760 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,791 | £49.90 |
| Match 4 | 2,087 | £30.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 846 | £99.90 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 46 | £998 |
| Match 5 | 10 | £14,741 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £90,102 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £120,099,439 |