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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£32,811,078
The crowdHeld 30% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 821 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 137 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 820 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 41, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 June 2023 — its closest relative in 820 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,214 winners, 31% more than the 926 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 759,216 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 305,973 | £4.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 68,138 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 51,760 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 13,024 | £12.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 21,234 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 881 | £52.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,214 | £26.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 489 | £89.60 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23 | £1,034 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £10,911 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £32,811,078 |