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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£112,723,000
The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 732 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 122 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 731 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 21, 32) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 June 2023 — its closest relative in 731 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 86 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 1,668 winners, 35% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 1 | €130,000,000 |
| rang2 | 3 | €81,128 |
| rang3 | 1 | €12,135 |
| rang4 | 42 | €643 |
| rang5 | 531 | €75.80 |
| rang6 | 1,668 | €32.40 |
| rang7 | 1,036 | €29.20 |
| rang8 | 20,625 | €9.20 |
| rang9 | 24,627 | €7.90 |
| rang10 | 46,912 | €7.50 |
| rang11 | 93,270 | €5.00 |
| rang12 | 309,425 | €4.40 |
| rang13 | 596,720 | €3.60 |