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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£53,782,090
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 714 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 119 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 713 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (32, 33, 38) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 May 2020 — its closest relative in 713 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 July 2023): 7 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 144 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33, 33–34. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 12,366 winners, 32% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang3 | 2 | €110,849 |
| rang4 | 5 | €2,093 |
| rang5 | 114 | €160 |
| rang6 | 264 | €64.10 |
| rang7 | 245 | €49.30 |
| rang8 | 5,018 | €13.50 |
| rang9 | 5,662 | €13.10 |
| rang10 | 12,366 | €11.10 |
| rang11 | 30,204 | €5.90 |
| rang12 | 95,369 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 206,818 | €4.30 |