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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£27,036,551
The crowdHeld 60% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 628 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 63 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 627 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 2, 26) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 March 2022 — its closest relative in 627 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 56 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 24,405 winners, 86% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €179,820 |
| rang3 | 2 | €21,013 |
| rang4 | 6 | €1,496 |
| rang5 | 233 | €103 |
| rang6 | 310 | €72.30 |
| rang7 | 638 | €29.90 |
| rang8 | 4,368 | €17.80 |
| rang9 | 8,828 | €10.70 |
| rang10 | 24,405 | €7.50 |
| rang11 | 21,951 | €8.60 |
| rang12 | 115,013 | €5.60 |
| rang13 | 300,179 | €3.50 |