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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,142,411
The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 609 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 608 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 25, 27) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 May 2022 — its closest relative in 608 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 77 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 21,778 winners, 44% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €109,396 |
| rang3 | 6 | €7,990 |
| rang4 | 10 | €926 |
| rang5 | 256 | €72.00 |
| rang6 | 519 | €38.30 |
| rang7 | 591 | €21.50 |
| rang8 | 5,599 | €11.10 |
| rang9 | 8,978 | €7.90 |
| rang10 | 21,778 | €6.20 |
| rang11 | 25,328 | €6.20 |
| rang12 | 106,513 | €4.60 |
| rang13 | 255,436 | €3.10 |