Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£44,829,384
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 547 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 546 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 34, 38) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 January 2021 — its closest relative in 546 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 122 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 8,146 winners, 41% more than the 5.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €65,401 |
| rang3 | 1 | €11,464 |
| rang4 | 13 | €1,020 |
| rang5 | 199 | €84.70 |
| rang6 | 331 | €56.40 |
| rang7 | 348 | €32.30 |
| rang8 | 4,371 | €14.20 |
| rang9 | 8,146 | €8.60 |
| rang10 | 14,678 | €8.60 |
| rang11 | 21,717 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 107,916 | €4.60 |
| rang13 | 199,726 | €3.90 |