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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£37,176,013
The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 449 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 448 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 10, 35) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 April 2017 — its closest relative in 448 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 January 2021): 18 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 11,672 winners, 17% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €562,880 |
| rang3 | 0 | €32,889 |
| rang4 | 11 | €1,639 |
| rang5 | 107 | €124 |
| rang6 | 255 | €57.60 |
| rang7 | 293 | €40.10 |
| rang8 | 4,248 | €13.40 |
| rang9 | 5,226 | €12.20 |
| rang10 | 11,672 | €10.30 |
| rang11 | 23,600 | €5.90 |
| rang12 | 79,536 | €5.70 |
| rang13 | 174,019 | €4.20 |