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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£85,964,733
The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 346 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 345 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 29, 44) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 July 2019 — its closest relative in 345 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 January 2020): 29, 44 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈41M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,256 winners, 25% fewer than the 3.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,491,899 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 763,017 | £4.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 220,155 | £5.10 |
| Match 3 | 106,522 | £7.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48,159 | £8.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 54,426 | £7.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,451 | £44.30 |
| Match 4 | 2,256 | £38.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,164 | £94.20 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 64 | £1,607 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £225,740 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £85,964,733 |