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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£20,022,696
The crowdHeld 47% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 538 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 537 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 39% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 537 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 11, 13, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 May 2012 — its closest relative in 537 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 June 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 116 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,315,084 winners, 47% more than the 896k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,315,084 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 555,254 | £5.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 130,711 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 | 87,491 | £7.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25,899 | £16.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,370 | £11.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,705 | £55.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,950 | £67.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 785 | £168 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 49 | £3,078 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £37,711 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £20,022,696 |