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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,760,500
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 539 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 538 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 538 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (29, 38, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 December 2015 — its closest relative in 538 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 126 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 1,182 winners, 15% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 770,402 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 394,597 | £5.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 104,997 | £8.20 |
| Match 3 | 51,524 | £9.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,771 | £16.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 25,884 | £11.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,182 | £56.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,124 | £83.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 565 | £166 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37 | £2,892 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £53,503 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £321,020 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,760,500 |