Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£78,370,000
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 356 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 355 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 355 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 23, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 16 March 2012 — its closest relative in 355 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2014): 13 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 138 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈52M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,087 winners, 13% more than the 3.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,566,565 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,251,070 | £5.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 332,182 | £7.80 |
| Match 3 | 177,992 | £8.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 65,915 | £14.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 86,458 | £10.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,642 | £43.40 |
| Match 4 | 4,087 | £69.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,857 | £152 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 95 | £3,398 |
| Match 5 | 19 | £33,983 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £215,228 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £78,370,000 |