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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,907,500
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 231 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 230 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 230 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 16, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 June 2011 — its closest relative in 230 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 July 2013): 16 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 15–16. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,229 winners, 17% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 865,483 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 516,362 | £4.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 136,132 | £6.40 |
| Match 3 | 56,903 | £8.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,682 | £11.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 32,979 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,816 | £37.30 |
| Match 4 | 1,229 | £77.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 626 | £152 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 40 | £2,715 |
| Match 5 | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £12,907,500 |