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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,825,000
The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 201 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 200 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 April 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 200 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (35, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 March 2013 — its closest relative in 200 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 April 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 180 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 427,305 winners, 11% more than the 386k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 845,963 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 427,305 | £6.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 112,543 | £8.80 |
| Match 3 | 55,593 | £10.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 21,704 | £16.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 28,154 | £11.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,503 | £50.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,204 | £89.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 630 | £170 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 43 | £2,849 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £61,261 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £245,045 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,825,000 |