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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£27,120,728
The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 145 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 144 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 144 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (7, 27) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 July 2012 — its closest relative in 144 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 156 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,075,089 winners, 21% more than the 889k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,075,089 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 497,746 | £6.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 129,700 | £8.50 |
| Match 3 | 71,652 | £8.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24,281 | £16.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 32,717 | £11.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,624 | £52.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,425 | £84.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 688 | £174 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | £5,267 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £22,824 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £821,669 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £27,120,728 |