Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£21,218,944
The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 144 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 143 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 143 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 19, 41) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 May 2012 — its closest relative in 143 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,493,496 winners, 25% more than the 1.2M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,493,496 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 692,243 | £6.50 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 174,141 | £9.60 |
| Match 3 | 97,479 | £9.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31,700 | £18.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 45,612 | £12.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,079 | £62.20 |
| Match 4 | 2,151 | £84.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 961 | £189 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 45 | £4,604 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £59,189 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £248,592 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £21,218,944 |