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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£164,760,992
The crowdHeld 29% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 18 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 17 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 17 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (40, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 June 2011 — its closest relative in 17 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 July 2011): 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈79M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 4,463,502 winners, 29% more than the 3.4M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 4,463,502 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 2,104,930 | £5.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 502,744 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 | 299,580 | £8.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 94,792 | £17.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 141,269 | £10.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,526 | £53.80 |
| Match 4 | 6,375 | £77.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,847 | £173 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 142 | £3,963 |
| Match 5 | 24 | £46,894 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £3,314,251 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £164,760,992 |