Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£159,008,880
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 17 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 16 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 16 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (28, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 May 2011 — its closest relative in 16 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 July 2011): 11 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 164 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈65M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,856 winners, 15% fewer than the 4.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 2,636,492 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,411,536 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 416,590 | £6.40 |
| Match 3 | 178,456 | £8.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 77,153 | £12.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 93,907 | £9.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 5,083 | £40.40 |
| Match 4 | 3,856 | £74.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,939 | £148 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 103 | £3,193 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £46,976 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £219,221 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £159,008,880 |