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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£52,463,848
The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 350 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 349 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 349 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 11, 39) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 30 July 2010 — its closest relative in 349 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 October 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 68 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈67M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 143,643 winners, 22% fewer than the 184k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,462,874 | £4.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 657,783 | £4.50 |
| Match 3 | 143,643 | £9.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 139,913 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 112,719 | £13.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 10,261 | £28.60 |
| Match 4 | 3,285 | £62.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,725 | £108 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 220 | £2,004 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £44,078 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 13 | £167,270 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2 | £26,231,924 |