Number 40

In Western 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.

14times drawn · chance expected 18 −0.95σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number

10.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

21longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 14 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −0.95σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 14 times in 145 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.5
4th smallest2 · chance 2.7
5th smallest4 · chance 6.1
6th smallest8 · chance 4.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

30 37 5 13 23 28

Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-19	9	6th	5 23 30 37 39 40
2026-08-19	14	6th	6 11 13 22 33 40
2026-07-01	10	5th	10 13 19 28 40 47
2026-05-27	7	5th

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.