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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Western 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 13 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −1.20σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 145 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 13 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-13 | 4 | 3rd | 131416333946 |
| 2025-11-29 | 16 | 1st | 161922233945 |
| 2025-10-01 | 1 | 4th | 3411162328 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2 | 1st | 162227303139 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2 | 1st | 162736404346 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1 | 3rd | 111216294244 |
| 2025-09-10 | 12 | 2nd | 61633364142 |
| 2025-07-30 | 12 | 2nd | 61618232531 |
| 2025-06-18 | — | 2nd | 41621284547 |