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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Western 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 22 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, +1.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 22 times in 145 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 4 | 3rd | 135273041 |
| 2026-09-19 | 8 | 1st | 52330373940 |
| 2026-08-22 | 12 | 1st | 5632333545 |
| 2026-07-11 | 5 | 1st | 52833374346 |
| 2026-06-24 | 2 | 1st | 51011132646 |
| 2026-06-17 | 9 | 1st | 51819283041 |
| 2026-05-16 | 18 | 1st | 52021232647 |
| 2026-03-14 | 5 | 1st | 51731343637 |
| 2026-02-25 | 2 | 2nd | 2525344248 |
| 2026-02-18 | 1 | 2nd | 2520303849 |
| 2026-02-14 | 8 | 1st | 5917293544 |
| 2026-01-17 | 11 | 2nd | 359202225 |
| 2025-12-10 | 1 | 1st | 567253045 |
| 2025-12-06 | 10 | 1st | 5720273740 |
| 2025-10-29 | 12 | 3rd | 235263536 |
| 2025-09-17 | 5 | 1st | 5611303233 |
| 2025-08-30 | 1 | 1st | 51126283040 |
| 2025-08-27 | 7 | 1st | 5913182033 |
| 2025-08-02 | 10 | 2nd | 3515252835 |
| 2025-06-28 | 2 | 1st | 5711232430 |
| 2025-06-21 | 3 | 2nd | 3524263545 |
| 2025-06-11 | — | 2nd | 457202444 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.