Number 15

In Western 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.

15times drawn · chance expected 18 −0.70σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

9.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

29longest completed wait · 31% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −0.70σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 145 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 29 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 2.4
2nd smallest5 · chance 5.7
3rd smallest5 · chance 4.8
4th smallest2 · chance 1.8
5th smallest0 · chance 0.3
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 22 6 21 30 34

Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	28	4th	3 6 10 15 30 36
2026-07-04	6	1st	15 23 26 30 35 38
2026-06-13	3	3rd	6 8 15 22 37 41
2026-06-03	1	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.