In Daily Grand under the 5/49 + 1/7 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–49.
6times drawn · chance expected 16 −2.66σ
27draws waiting · a wait this long: 6% for any number
24.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
53longest completed wait · 2% chance of one at least that long
40 looks unusual on its own — and unremarkable among 49 numbers
Drawn 6 times in 158 draws against 16.1 expected, −2.66σ. Testing all 49 numbers at once means about 0.5 should look this way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.0e-4 and this does not pass it.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 6 times in 158 draws · average wait 24.0 draws · longest completed wait 53 · waiting 27 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 27 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 29 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.