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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Daily Grand under the 5/49 + 1/7 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 8 times in 158 draws against 16.1 expected, −2.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 8 times in 158 draws · average wait 17.6 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 13 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 25 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-11 | 29 | 1st | 2022283341 |
| 2025-08-28 | 16 | 4th | 56132049 |
| 2025-07-03 | 5 | 2nd | 520252749 |
| 2025-06-16 | — | 4th | 711172021 |