Number 10

In Daily Grand under the 5/49 + 1/7 · since Apr 2025 rules — 159 draws, 5 from 1–49.

11times drawn · chance expected 16 −1.37σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 22% for any number

13.3average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

26longest completed wait · 50% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 159 draws against 16.2 expected, −1.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 159 draws · average wait 13.3 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 4.6
2nd smallest7 · chance 4.6
3rd smallest3 · chance 1.5
4th smallest0 · chance 0.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 3 13 21 7 17

Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-20	26	2nd	3 10 13 23 49
2026-05-21	16	2nd	2 10 13 26 46
2026-03-26	8	3rd	2 4 10 22 31
2026-02-26	11	2nd	3 10 13 43

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.