In Daily Grand under the 5/49 + 1/7 · since Apr 2025 rules — 158 draws, 5 from 1–49.
10times drawn · chance expected 16 −1.61σ
15draws waiting · a wait this long: 22% for any number
15.4average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
48longest completed wait · 6% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 10 times in 158 draws against 16.1 expected, −1.61σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15
Number 15, draw by draw
Drawn 10 times in 158 draws · average wait 15.4 draws · longest completed wait 48 · waiting 15 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 17 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.