In Bucko under the 5/41 · since May 2025 rules — 483 draws, 5 from 1–41.
45times drawn · chance expected 59 −1.93σ
13draws waiting · a wait this long: 21% for any number
10.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
34longest completed wait · 45% chance of one at least that long
23 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 45 times in 483 draws against 58.9 expected, −1.93σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
23
Number 23, draw by draw
Drawn 45 times in 483 draws · average wait 10.5 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 13 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 40 numbers; chance expects about 0.4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.