In Bucko under the 5/41 · since May 2025 rules — 483 draws, 5 from 1–41.
59times drawn · chance expected 59 +0.01σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number
7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
32longest completed wait · 65% chance of one at least that long
14 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 59 times in 483 draws against 58.9 expected, +0.01σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
14
Number 14, draw by draw
Drawn 59 times in 483 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.