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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
BR · ball game
Latest drawThursday, 8 October 2026
JackpotR$100,040,385
Top prizeNot won — 6 draws unwon
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 9 Oct 2026, 04:22 UTC.
6 numbers from 1–60. 3,064 draws held here since 1996-03-11.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Mega-Sena come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Mega-Sena already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 3,064 draws every number is expected about 306 times, and a ball favoured by more than 23% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 10 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 30 or more. It is never “due”.

The 6 numbers add up to about 183, give or take 41. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

42.1% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

1,770 possible pairs, each expected together 26.0 times so far — and about 18 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 60 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

48% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 8.9% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 8.7 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 45 draws for every one of the 60 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

50,063,860 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 3,064 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 9, the highest near 52. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

6/60 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 75% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 210 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 6/60 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 6-of-60 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,063 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 40, 43, 57) with the draw of 5 January 2011 — its closest relative in 3,063 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 196 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 80% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 4,884 winners, 0% more than the 4.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | R$100,040,385 |
| Match 5 | 62 | R$51,809 |
| Match 4 | 4,884 | R$1,084 |
| Totals | 4,946 | — |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 7 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 3.6 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 102 | 142.6 |
| 1 | 110 | 111.8 |
| 2 | 81 | 87.6 |
| 3 | 77 | 68.7 |
| 4 | 63 | 53.9 |
| 5 | 64 | 42.2 |
| 6 | 42 | 33.1 |
| 7 | 40 | 25.9 |
| 8 | 23 | 20.3 |
| 9 | 22 | 15.9 |
| 10+ | 36 | 57.9 |
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,063 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,062 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 17, 41, 52) with the draw of 6 December 2006 — its closest relative in 3,062 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): 4 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,061 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 13, 28) with the draw of 12 August 2023 — its closest relative in 3,061 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,060 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 38, 50, 53) with the draw of 14 March 2009 — its closest relative in 3,060 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2026): 10 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 189 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 73% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,059 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 27, 48) with the draw of 26 April 2025 — its closest relative in 3,059 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 134 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 59% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,058 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 17, 18, 38) with the draw of 23 April 2014 — its closest relative in 3,058 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,057 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 37, 47, 55) with the draw of 2 May 2026 — its closest relative in 3,057 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 216 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 81% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,056 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 7, 33) with the draw of 29 November 2025 — its closest relative in 3,056 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 96 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,055 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 23, 53) with the draw of 31 March 2026 — its closest relative in 3,055 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 September 2026): 14, 56 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 263 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 56–57. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →57 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 85% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 305 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,054 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 21, 25, 51) with the draw of 6 February 2010 — its closest relative in 3,054 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 207 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →56 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 80% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 305 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,053 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 36, 49) with the draw of 6 September 2014 — its closest relative in 3,053 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 September 2026): 1 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 188 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 83% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 305 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,052 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 35, 39, 51) with the draw of 28 February 2015 — its closest relative in 3,052 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 164 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 84% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →