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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega-Sena · draw
ResultMega-Sena
JackpotR$101,970,706
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 3,057 of 3,057 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 18 Sept 2026, 05:35 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,056 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 2, 7, 33) with the draw of 29 November 2025 — its closest relative in 3,056 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 96 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 6,697 winners, 0% more than the 6.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 1 | R$101,970,706 |
| Match 5 | 98 | R$31,664 |
| Match 4 | 6,697 | R$764 |
| Totals | 6,796 | — |