Mega-Sena numbers

Across 3,064 draws, each number is expected about 306 times. 3 numbers look unusual on their own — but testing all 60 numbers at once means about 0.6 should look that way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 1.7e-4. Nothing survives it: these draws behave exactly as random draws should.

Nothing here predicts the next draw. Each draw is independent: a number absent for fifty draws is exactly as likely to appear tonight as one drawn yesterday. The point of comparing against expectation is to show when a difference is ordinary — which, in a fair draw, it almost always is.