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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Mega-Sena · draw
ResultMega-Sena
JackpotR$92,422,705
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/60 · since Mar 1996draw 3,056 of 3,056 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 16 Sept 2026, 13:55 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,055 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 23, 53) with the draw of 31 March 2026 — its closest relative in 3,055 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 September 2026): 14, 56 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 263 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 183. Side-by-side numbers: 56–57. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →57 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 85% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,632 winners, 0% more than the 3.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | R$92,422,705 |
| Match 5 | 49 | R$53,306 |
| Match 4 | 3,632 | R$1,185 |
| Totals | 3,681 | — |