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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 21,824,643
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 616 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 615 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 10, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 July 2023 — its closest relative in 615 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 130 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 15,329 winners, 8% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 1 | ZAR 21,824,643 |
| 5 | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 20 | ZAR 14,230 |
| 4 | 323 | ZAR 575 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 823 | ZAR 255 |
| 3 | 15,329 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 12,498 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 66,201 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 108,724 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 203,919 | — |